At the state Capitol in Denver, lawmakers are busy writing bills and casting votes. They are also raising tens of thousands of dollars, sponsoring showbills and, sometimes, keeping quiet on hot-button issues to prevent unnecessary attention. That’s because in November, nearly half the Senate, 17 seats, and the entire House, 65 seats, will be up for reelection.
This year will test whether the so-called blue wave that earned Democrats surprise victories in Congressional special elections across the country last year will continue to roll over Colorado. Mid-term elections are also generally considered a referendum on the President’s party. Both of these factors pose a challenge for Republicans seeking to keep their one-seat majority in the Senate.
We are watching about a dozen legislative races as we head into the primaries are on June 26 and election day on November 6. We will be updating this list as the elections near. Let us know if there are any competitive races not included in this list.
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Senate District 5
Chaffee, Delta, Eagle, Gunnison, Hinsdale Lake and Pitkin
Registered Republicans outnumber Democrats in this district 30.3 to 28.7 percent. Unaffiliated voter account for 39.2 percent. In 2014, Donovan won the seat by a thin margin of 2.3 percent.
[one_half last=”no”]
Democrat
Incumbent Sen. Kerry Donovan
[/one_half]
[one_half last=”yes”]
Republican
Olen Lund
[/one_half]
_______________________
Senate District 7
Mesa
Republicans have a strong hold on this seat; Republican voters outnumber Democratic voters 2 to 1. Both Sen. Ray Scott and Rep. Dan Thurlow have won by a large margin in their prior elections.
[one_half last=”no”]
Democrat
Chris Kennedy
[/one_half]
[one_half last=”yes”]
Republican
Incumbent Sen. Ray Scott, R-Grand Junction
Rep. Dan Thurlow, R-Grand Junction
[/one_half]
_______________________
Senate District 16
Boulder, Denver, Gilpin and Jefferson
In 2014, Sen. Tim Neville won the race by a 2.8 percent margin over the Democratic challenger Jeanne Nicholson. Unaffiliated voters make up the majority of this district at 38.4.
[one_half last=”no”]
Democrat
Tammy Story
[/one_half]
[one_half last=”yes”]
Republican
Incumbent Sen. Tim Neville, R-Littleton.
[/one_half]
_______________________
Senate District 24
Adams
This district leans Democratic but is held by a Republican. Democratic voters outnumber Republican voters, 32.1 to 27.5 percent, and unaffiliated voters make up a majority of 38.6 percent. In 2014, Sen. Martinez Humenik won the seat by a 1.8 percent margin over Democratic challenger Judy Solano. This year she faces Rep. Faith Winter, who was one of the women who filed a sexual harassment complaint against fellow Democratic lawmaker Steve Lebsock. The complaints resulted in the historic ouster of Lebsock from office in early March.
In the 2016 presidential race, Hillary Clinton won Adams County.
[one_third last=”no”]
Republican
Incumbent Sen. Beth Martinez Humenik, R-Thornton.
[/one_third]
[one_third last=”no”]
Democrat
Rep. Faith Winter, D-Westminster
[/one_third]
[one_third last=”yes”]
Independent
Thorton Councilman Adam Matkowsky, an Independent.
[/one_third]
_______________________
Senate District 20
Jefferson
Sen. Cheri Jahn of Wheat Ridge, who is unaffiliated, is leaving open a competitive seat. Demotic and Republican voters make up a similar share of the electorate, 30.7 to 29.8. Unaffiliated voters make up 37.8 percent.
[one_half last=”no”]
Democrat
Jessie Danielson
[/one_half]
[one_half last=”yes”]
Republican
Christine Jensen
[/one_half]
_______________________
Senate District 22
Jefferson
Sen. Andy Kerr, D-Denver, is leaving open a seat in a competitive district. Unaffiliated voters make up 37.7 percent.
[one_half last=”no”]
Democrats
Rep. Brittany Pettersen, D-Lakewood
[/one_half]
[one_half last=”yes”]
Republican
Romualdo Anthony Sanchez
[/one_half]
_______________________
House District 9
Southeast Denver
Incumbent Rep. Paul Rosenthal, D-Denver, lost his re-election bid.
At the House District 9 multicounty assembly on April 7, he came up short of the votes needed to make it to the state primary; he received 24.7 percent of the votes (30 percent is needed).
That leaves Emily Sirota, who was endorsed by Senator Bernie Sanders, who won big in the 2016 Democratic caucus when running as a candidate for U.S. president, and Ashley Wheeland, an attorney who worked on former Interior Secretary Ken Salazar’s 2004 Senate campaign.
Just days after Rep. Steve Lebsock was ousted from the House of Representatives over complaints of sexual harassment, Sirota took to Twitter, saying it’s time to “clean house.” She linked to an editorial in The Denver Post that mentions an allegation against Rosenthal involving unwanted sexual advances on another man (a formal complaint was dismissed in January by House leadership because the incident occurred before he was serving as a state representative). The Denver Post reported delegates cited the allegations as one reason why the didn’t vote for Rosenthal.
Democrats make up the largest share of registered voters in this district, outnumbering Republicans 2 to 1, which is likely to push candidates to the left on issues.
[one_half last=”no”]
Democrat
Ashley Wheeland
Emily Sirota
[/one_half]
[one_half last=”yes”]
Republican
Angel Saunders
[/one_half]
_______________________
House District 17
El Paso
The district has changed hands between the parties every election since 2008. This is partly due to the high percentage of unaffiliated voters, 40.2 percent. Former Rep. Catherine Roupe, who defeated Rep. Exum in 2014, is again seeking the seat after Exum took it in the 2016 election.
[one_half last=”no”]
Democrat
Incumbent Rep. Tony Exum, D-Colorado Springs
[/one_half]
[one_half last=”yes”]
Republican
Catherine M. “Kit” Roupe
[/one_half]
_______________________
House District 25
Jefferson
Incumbent Rep. Tim Leonard won the seat in 2016 by 3.6 percent margin. Jefferson County also voted for Hillary Clinton in the presidential election in 2016. The tight margin and the top ticket make Leonard’s reelection prospects uncertain.
[one_half last=”no”]
Democrat
Challenger Lisa Cutter
[/one_half]
[one_half last=”yes”]
Republican
Incumbent Rep. Timothy Leonard, R-Evergreen
[/one_half]
_______________________
House District 30
Adams
A majority of the district’s voters, 38 percent, are unaffiliated.
[one_half last=”no”]
Democrat
Incumbent Rep. Dafna Michaelson Jenet, D-Commerce City
[/one_half]
[one_half last=”yes”]
Republican
Susan Lynn Kochevar
[/one_half]
_______________________
House District 34
Adams
A majority of the district’s voters, 39.4 percent, are unaffiliated. And, in 2016, a Green Party candidate claimed more than 6 percent of the vote. Rep. Steve Lebsock, D-Thornton, who was expelled from office on March 2 over allegations of sexual harassment, is not seeking reelection.
[one_half last=”no”]
Democrat
Kyle Mullica
Jacque Phillips
[/one_half]
[one_half last=”yes”]
Republican
Casey L. Cole
[/one_half]
_______________________
House District 47
Fremont, Otero and Pueblo
Rep. Reyher was appointed to the position on November 27, 2017 to replace Clarice Navarro-Ratzlaff, R-Pueblo, who resigned to join the Trump Administration. Democratic voters outnumber Republican voters 34 to 32.6 percent in this district.
[one_half last=”no”]
Democrat
Brianna Buentello
[/one_half]
[one_half last=”yes”]
Republican
Incumbent Rep. Judy Reyher, R-Swink
[/one_half]
