Gregg cited the coming decennial U.S. Census, as one example of irreconcilable disagreement with President Barack Obama. The census? Huh? The brewing oversight fight on the 2010 national head count promises high political drama. You think Dick Wadhams is just sticking around here for the fresh mountain air?

As we reported almost a year ago, the census could be the next hanging chad of election scandals since an inaccurate tally of residents could greatly affect federal funding to the states as well as partisan top-loading of redrawn political district boundaries.

Redistricting is called a blood sport for very good reason. Think back to 2002. The state Legislature failed to agree on new maps based on the 2000 census that created District 7, a fast-growing area just west of Denver. In the meantime the Republicans gained control of the statehouse in the 2002 midterm election and attempted to push through a GOP-friendly map.

Lawsuits ensued over the imbroglio reaching as high as the U.S. Supreme Court, which refused to hear the case, remanding it back to a state court that drew the maps we have today.

And that CD 7 example still figures prominently. The competitive district flipped from Republican Bob Beauprez who retired to lose in a gubernatorial blowout to Gov. Bill Ritter. Democrat Ed Perlmutter won the seat over flamed-out rising GOP star Rick O’Donnell. Perlmutter now looks fairly well ensconced much to Wadhams’ chagrin, leaving the GOP with just two truly competitive congressional seats — CD 3 and CD 4 — in the state.

Before the town hall — basically a gargantuan conference call — Perlmutter’s office sent post cards and e-mails to 50,000 constituents in the 7th Congressional District letting them know they’d be getting a call Wednesday night and could participate in the town hall by pressing some digits on their phone.

7:03 p.m. - Perlmutter welcomes callers, says his telephone town halls have had as many as 2,900 callers on the conference call and roughly 500 are on the call now.

7:05 p.m. – Perlmutter describes a stimulus bill passed by the House to add jobs. It’s sitting in the Senate and probably won’t be passed until the next Congress. Also passed TARP to stabilize the markets, make loans to troubled financial institutions, also businesses and individuals. There was a two-week period in September during which AIG needed help, Lehman Brothers failed and the secretary of the Treasury and Federal Reserve head came to Congress asking for emergency powers. Congress added taxpayer protections — the House didn’t pass, Senate did, then House finally did. Now we’re dealing with the automakers, Perlmutter says. There’s a hearing Friday to determine whether to provide assistance to Chrysler, GM and Ford. The automakers “did not present a very good case” previously asking for emergency assistance. They have come back with detailed business plans how to make their companies profitable. The downturn in the economy has exacerbated their problems, asking fro loans, guarantees for $34 billion, warning that failure could reverberate through the economy. Perlmutter’s Financial Services committee will consider it Friday. There’s also a proposal to provide credit to businesses and individuals with a hearing scheduled next Wednesday.

7:09 p.m. - Leslie Oliver, Perlmutter’s communications director, says there are more than 1,500 people on the call and provides instructions on how to ask questions. Perlmutter makes a few more points: When considering bailout proposals, he has these questions — does it stabilize the market, does it provide taxpayer protection, and does it revitalize the economy? What do we do to impose or reinstate regulations, and were there people who gamed the system who should be held to account? “That’s gotta be a consideration in anything we do,” he says, but first we have to fix things. There are now 1,800 people on the line.

7:12 p.m. - Zachary from Aurora wants to know about tax cuts, whether attempts to roll back the Bush tax cuts pit rich against the poor too much.

Perlmutter says he believes in the “trickle up theory.” The 7th Congressional District is people in the middle, and when the middle does well the country does well. Wants tax cuts for people making $50,000 to $200,000 — that will stimulate economy more than anything. Tax cuts that benefited the wealthiest in our economy while prosecuting wars in Afghanistan and Iraq put country in “an upside down position.” Those tax cuts to highest income brackets should be eliminated, taken back to where they were in 2000, 2001, but he’s not prepared to do that right now. “Ultimately, we’ve all got to pay our share, but tax cuts for the middle would have a stimulating effect on the economy.”

7:15 p.m. - Leslie Oliver describes a poll, which listeners can take by pressing numbers on their phone. This concerns with how to deal with the auto industry’s travails.

Perlmutter describes auto company’s proposals. GM wants $6 billion loan, $12 billion line of credit. CEO and board would cut salaries, top management also cut salaries and take no golden parachutes. They would premise loan on restructuring. Chrysler is asking for $7 billion, said they were doing well until sales came to a halt in August and September, want $7 billion bridge loan to get through first quarter. Ford feels it’s done the necessary restructuring, don’t need immediate cash infusion but want $9 billion line of credit in event market stays weak or if one of the others gets into trouble because they have common suppliers. Chapter 11 reorganization bankruptcy could help companies come to grips with things burdening companies, but these companies feel that would make it hard to sell cars. Another proposal is for government to buy energy efficient vehicles so companies have to retool. Another proposal is a bankruptcy specific to the auto industry so they can maintain business and restructure quickly, avoid layoffs.

The poll questions again: Which would you support?

1. Let Big 3 file for Chapter 11
2. Feds should guarantee purchase of energy efficient fleet
3. Fund based on specific loan terms
4. Feds should create new kind of bankruptcy
5. Feds should do nothing
6. Other options — email suggestions through Perlmutter’s Web site.

7:22 p.m. - Margaret wants to know about unions. Her IRA has lost a significant chunk, so is it fair tax money goes to autoworkers whose generous retirements and pensions are protected.

Perlmutter says the UAW submitted information — comparing new hires vs. people who worked 20-30 years ago. The range for new hires is $14 an hour for entry-level to $28 an hour for assemblers to $33 an hour for skilled workers on new contracts. Pensions — called legacy benefits — have been a heavy burden. GM has tried to move those obligations into a new entity, having spent $123 billion over the last three years. Part of all of this has got to be restructuring of the benefits. Companies have done a good job dealing with new hires, concessions by labor, but these other benefits still exist and that’s got to be part of the whole discussion.

7:25 p.m.: Poll results are in

1. Let Big 3 file for Chapter 11 – 26 percent
2. Feds should guarantee purchase of energy efficient fleet – 9 percent
3. Fund based on specific loan terms – 22 percent
4. Feds should create new kind of bankruptcy – 24 percent
5. Feds should do nothing – 11 percent
6. Other options — 8 percent

7:26 p.m. - Perlmutter says there are more than 3,000 people on the call.

Ricky with The Orion Project asks what kind of mandates will be put in place to require new technologies that have been put on the shelf “or suppressed” to get us off carbon-based fuels? Ice caps are melting, the problem with infrastructure is a technological and energy problem. He says his project is trying to get fuel cells, for instance, developed but it’s difficult. What kind of legislation will guarantee the technology makes it to the market?

Perlmutter says Congress passed the first increase to fuel mileage requirements in the last 28 years. Have to be concerned with climate — new technology means jobs. National security, environment, jobs — all reasons to focus on new ways to fuel vehicles. Tremendous pressure on Big 3 to come up with more efficient autos. GM says 22 of 24 new cars to be introduced are energy-efficient, including the Chevy Volt. Ford and Chrysler have done a lot to move toward that. They all “went kicking and screaming” into energy-efficient future and developed their own headaches, but they know Americans won’t continue to buy gas guzzlers. Consumers shouldn’t think oil will continue to go way up and drop way down. Has to be part of any loan package or restructuring. All the manufacturers have electric, hybrids, fuel-cell cars coming on line. Battery storage advances are there. Question is if tech steps are too little, too late?

7:30 p.m. - Margie in Arvada wants to know why would anyone open a bank anymore since so many have gotten in trouble.

Perlmutter says there are challenges ahead but Colorado is better off than most of the nation. State has all these energy companies, just today there was an announcement about a new solar film that can be placed on many things — like the tinting of car windows, that can generate electricity. Colorado went into the downturn before anyone else, we’ll come out before others because of diverse economy.

Are there too many banks? It’s easier to create a bank because of national banking system. In the old days, each bank had to have its own capital and stand on its own. Over time, moved from that to branch and then national banking. Erosion of regulations and precautions that came out of the Depression. Last barriers that kept stock brokerages, insurance companies and banks apart have fallen and that’s part of the problem. Some of the regulations provided for a stronger banking system.

7:34 p.m. - New poll about stimulus package. Which moves would callers support:

1. Rebuilding transportation, energy grid
2. Aid to homeowners to prevent foreclosures
3. Aid to small businesses and individuals
4. All of the above
5. No more economic stimulus

7:36 p.m. - Brian from Lakewood wants to hear views on stimulus for consumers vs. those for businesses.

Perlmutter wants to focus on infrastructure. “We’ve deferred maintenance on highway system,” transit system, energy grid is “antiquated,” doesn’t allow easy use of solar, wind, geothermal. “We have deferred investment in our country for too long.” Investment helps leave a legacy to our grandkids. Should spend money to develop new types of energy — solar, wind, biomass. Colorado is lucky, has big wind investment, NREL which spawns all sorts of businesses. U.S. should invest in new ways to come up with energy. Also money for unemployment insurance, healthcare — help folks tread water.

7:38 p.m. - Results of poll

1. Rebuilding transportation, energy grid — 38 percent
2. Aid to homeowners to prevent foreclosures – 8 percent
3. Aid to small businesses and individuals – 6 percent
4. All of the above – 27 percent
5. No more economic stimulus – 20 percent

7:39 p.m. – Bob from Arvada wants to know consequences to the nation if we let Big 3 automakers lapse into bankruptcy?

Perlmutter says economists, from left, right and middle, say in a normal year allowing one or two to file for Chapter 11 wouldn’t rock the economy, but the economy is fragile enough, layoffs of hundreds of thousands would create its own spiraling downward effect. Going to ask questions about that at hearings. Before he was in Congress, Perlmutter represented debtors in bankruptcy procedings. Chapter 11 allows companies to come out leaner and stronger, but the fear here is even that kind of bankruptcy would affect purchase of autos and cause layoffs in companies, suppliers and dealers. Economists say we can’t take the chance what it would do the economy overall.

7:42 p.m. - Sophia from Aurora wants to know about retraining. She was in mortgage business and has been laid off for over a year. Will there be retraining for the new energy jobs?

Perlmutter plugs the recent passage of a bill he sponsored, the GREEN Act — Green Resources for Energy Efficient Neighborhoods. It set standards for housing, commercial and retail properties — incentives for energy-efficient homes would lower credit risk because they’re less vulnerable to energy costs. Within mortgage business, many homes in default and foreclosure — effort to modify so can pay some part of mortgage and stay in homes, but servicing companies need people to be part of servicing loans. Without people servicing loans, we can’t do modifications to loans May be real chance in next few months for those kinds of jobs. Education for folks to learn about energy-efficient homes will also be promoted.

7:45 p.m. - Elizabeth from Golden wants idea where all the bailout money is coming from, if the system is accountable so we know it’s going for legit uses, whether companies will repay it.

Perlmutter says under TARP, $700 billion was appropriated to loan money into banking system so they’d work with one another again. They’d stopped loaning to other banks because they feared those banks would fail. TARP would be repaid these ways: the government purchases portfolios containing troubled mortgages that are in default, get cash flow from performing mortgages and eventually sell portfolio back after they improve. Bailout recapitalizes banks so they didn’t fail and could continue to make loans to public — we (taxpayers) receive stock in bank and banks will have to repay as they return to profitability. Also loans through federal agencies to small businesses, farms. There are also programs where the Fed has loans to banking system. For automakers, the government would get stock and warrants. Remember when Chrysler came to Congress in 1978, 1979, they took out a loan and paid it back seven years early and have been doing well since until very recently. If we keep the economy going, taxes would be coming in from the stronger economy. Mostly it’s loans, also investments in infrastructure paid over a very long time.

7:49 p.m. - New poll – have you postponed a major purchase such as new home or car within the last six months because of concern over the economy?

7:50 p.m. - Juan from Lakewood is an entrepreneur who had to lay off employees for the first time recently. Big companies are going overseas — how to bring economy back to our shores?

Perlmutter points to key Obama plank to not provide incentives to companies to ship jobs overseas. Part of automaker conditions is to try to have jobs here in U.S., not all around the globe, even though all three are global manufacturers. Goal is to make sure we don’t give incentives to companies to offshore labor, but make sure they look first to America to build business and employ people. Renewable energy, making homes energy efficient (GREEN Act) provides jobs here in America, infrastructure jobs are here in America. We’re in a global economy but we shouldn’t provide benefits to send jobs overseas. The space industry and engineering companies need workers — example of homegrown jobs.

7:53 p.m. - There are bout 3,000 people on the call.

Results of poll:

Have you postponed a major purchase such as new home or car within the last six months because of concern over the economy?

Yes – 31 percent
No – 69 percent

New poll – if you have postponed a major purchase, why?

1. Fear of or actual unemployment
2. Loss of credit
3. Wait and see attitude
4. Some other reason

7:55 p.m. - Lucille from Arvada wants to make a comment on auto industry. She can remember World War II – we cannot consider losing the automobile industry in the United States for national defense reasons because they retooled quickly to build the tanks and airplanes that helped win the war. They’ve made mistakes but we cannot let them go.

Perlmutter reviews Detroit’s history providing equipment for national security in WWII and since then. Has to be taken into consideration. Whatever Congress does, there are going to be a lot of conditions attached to any kind of bridge loan or line of credit. National security aspect, jobs, fuel and energy efficiency, concessions from management, dealers and labor are all necessary to keep companies lean and competitive to go forward. How to make sure taxpayer is protected — great question.

7:57 p.m. - Results of last poll: if you have postponed a major purchase, why?

1. Fear of or actual unemployment – 29 percent
2. Loss of credit – 4 percent
3. Wait and see attitude – 53 percent
4. Some other reason – 14 percent

7:58 p.m. - Mike from Aurora wants to know what guarantees we have the same people won’t fall into trouble again if we bail out foreclosures?

Perlmutter says vast majority are paying mortgages as promised, but a number suffer from teaser rates and housing values that have dropped. Borrower has fault, lender has fault for not adequately screening borrowers. Goal is we don’t want a lot of vacant homes because that has a domino effect, bringing down properties in neighborhoods. To allow loan modification, borrowers have to demonstrate they can pay. If real estate market comes back and improves, the taxpayers would share for five or six years in any increase up to original loan amounts. So if a loan is modified from $200K to $150K and if the house reappreciates to $200K, taxpayers would share in some of that growth. Don’t want to reward incompetence, greed — but have to deal with this in the short run, protect taxpayers, get economy back on its feet. Where people have taken advantage of the system, we hold them accountable. Lot of work to do.

8:02 p.m. - Perlmutter closes with invitation to an open house Dec. 13 at his Lakewood congressional office on Colfax between Simms and Youngfield, from 10 a.m. to 11:30 p.m. He thanks everyone for participating.

The organization headed by former U.S Representative Dick Armey (R-TX) issued a Fall Campaign Battle Plan press release today that was heavy on militaristic symbolism as a call to arms for conservative activists to get involved in its $4 million campaign.

A number of federal Democratic candidates were named in the release as targets of the group’s wrath, including Colorado’s Ed Perlmutter in CD-7 and Jay Fawcett in CD-5.

During this election cycle, FreedomWorks will educate and mobilize likely voters on where candidates stand on crucial economic issues and provide voters with in-depth information on problems facing our country, such as retirement security, out of control government spending and a ridiculous and overly- cumbersome tax code. The FreedomWorks GOTV campaign employs old fashioned “shoe leather” politics with a standing army of almost a million experienced political volunteers who are leading election year activities, including events with candidates, phone banking and GOTV calls, canvassing neighborhoods with literature and calling into local radio talk shows. To further support our on-the-ground activities, FreedomWorks Chairman Dick Armey will be traveling to selected districts/states.

Dick Armey may be best known in Colorado for a contentious debate with Gov. Bill Owens last year over Referenda C & D. According to The New York Times:

In June Mr. Armey, a Texas Republican, swept into town for a televised debate and called Mr. Owens a pledge-breaking politician caught drinking “backslider’s wine.” Smiling through clenched teeth, Mr. Owens accused Mr. Armey of adding billions to the national debt while in Congress, and his allies passed out copies of Mr. Armey’s budget votes.

That was garden-party talk compared with the comments from Mr. [Grover] Norquist, who said in an interview that Mr. Owens had gone “beyond weak-kneed; he’s put on the other team’s uniform and is leading the charge.” Retorting in another interview that Mr. Norquist “never lets the facts get in the way,” Mr. Owens said his former ally had “tried to threaten me” with political reprisal, and he challenged him to a debate.

Mr. Norquist later responded: “Consider that an accepted challenge. He’s finished nationally.”

Expect more rhetorical fireworks from the sharp-tongued Armey in the hotly contested CD-7 race between Perlmutter and conservative Rick O’Donnell and the surprisingly competitive candidacy of Fawcett against Focus on the Family favorite Doug Lamborn, winner of a six-way primary squeaker, in CD-5 earlier this month.

On the second floor of the Clements Community Center, high profile Democrats pledged their support for Ed Perlmutter, the winner in the congressional district seven (CD-7) primaries. Attendees included Congresswoman Diana DeGette, gubernatorial candidate Bill Ritter, and Perlmutter’s two competitors in the race-Peggy Lamm and Herb Rubenstein.

Standing in front of yard signs and a Colorado Democratic Party banner, DeGette moderated the press conference and congratulated all CD-7 candidates before going on to define her party in this year’s elections.

“The thing about the Democratic Party this November is that we are the party of the moderate middle,” she said. “That’s exactly what Ed Perlmutter  is going to show us and Bill Ritter is going to show us, and so many of the other candidates.”

Shortly after, Ritter spoke to Lamm and Rubenstein, thanking them for participating in the primary.

“They both worked extremely hard,” said Ritter. “They gave it their all, they gave it their energies and I want to personally thank them and I want to also congratulate them….”

When it was time for the candidates to talk, both Lamm and Rubenstein vowed their support for Perlmutter and told the audience to help him beat Rick O’Donnell, his Republican challenger.

“I wish I’d won, but the voters have spoken, the bastards,” said Lamm, jokingly.

Perlmutter spoke last, and received a standing ovation from the crowd-approximately seventy people.

“When you’re in the race, you’re contestants, you’re combatants, and it’s not a lot of fun because you’re fighting with your friends…so you learn a lot about people,” he said when talking about the hotly contested primary race.  “So with respect to this race, two people who were my friends or have become my friends will be my friends from this point on.”

Outside, a group of about fifteen protesters were standing in front of the Center, holding signs that criticized Perlmutter for his stances on Social Security reform.

“Yesterday Ed Perlmutter said on the news that he doesn’t think Social Security needs to be fixed, and we have a lot of concerns about that,” said LaDawn Sperling, a participant who did not identify her self with any specific organization. “We’re looking at Social Security and we’re paying into it now and there’s not going to be anything left for us by the time we get to retirement age.”

Lamm and Perlmutter hug.

DeGette speaks.

The 7th Congressional District race between Democrat Ed Perlmutter and Republican Rick O’Donnell is listed as a Republican open seat leaning Democratic.  Only one other Congressional race (PA-06) is a more likely Democratic party pickup, while two other races (TX-22 and IA-1) are in the same category.

No other Colorado Congressional races made the list.

The Governor’s race in Colorado, where Democrat Bill Ritter faces Republican Bob Beauprez is described as a probable Democratic Governor pickup.  The other races in this category are Arkansas, Massachusetts, New York, and Ohio.

The researchers do not show Republicans with an edge in any seat held by Democrats for the U.S. Senate, U.S. House or a Governorship in 2006.

Hat Tip to Daily Kos.

But you haven’t seen anything yet.

With many eyes outside Colorado on CD-7, here are some things to watch as campaign money pours into the district in coming weeks. The fundraising battle is crucial, when it comes to running for office, the person who raises the most more often than not wins.

All data quoted are from analysis by the Center for Responsive Politics.

Catch Up. Perlmutter is probably on the phone already, dialing for dollars. He has to narrow the gap with O’Donnell, who raised $1.7 million to Perlmutter’s $1 million during the first 18 months of the election cycle. O’Donnell also has far more cash on hand–$1.2 million v. $252,880.

More out-of-state cash.O’Donnell has raised a higher proportion of cash from individuals in-state than O’Donnell has-93 percent versus 86 percent. But that’s somewhat misleading, as the count doesn’t include all the out-of-state leadership Political Action Committees (PACs) that have contributed to O’Donnell. At any rate, expect lots more money from out-of-state to flow in to both politicians’ campaign chests.

Lawyers and lobbyists. Law and lobbying firms are the biggest source of cash for Perlmutter so far, but since most of this cash comes in the form of bundled contributions from individual firm members, they can pony up a lot more. Among his top donors to date are Castle, Meinhold & Stawiarski ($20,800); Berenbaum, Weinshienk & Easo ($17,630); Brownstein, Hyatt et al ($12,997), and Rothgerber, Johnson & Lons ($6,389).

Labor. Labor has done a lot for Perlmutter so far-giving him $87,500-but it could do a plenty more.

Leadership PACs A who’s who list of leadership PACs have already given the maximum of $10,000 to the O’Donnell campaign, including Back America’s Conservatives PAC (Richard Baker (R-LA)); Committee for the Preservation of Capitalism (Jim McCrery (R-LA)); Every Republican is Crucial PAC (Eric Cantor (R-VA)); Freedom Project (House Majority Leader John Boehner (R-OH)); Future Leaders PAC (Jerry Lewis (R-VA)); Growth and Prosperity PAC (Spencer Bacchus (R-LA)); Majority Initiative-Keep Electing Repubs (Mike Rogers (R-MI)); Promoting Republicans You Can Elect (Deborah Pryce (R-OH)); and Rely on Your Beliefs (Roy Blunt (R-MO)). With these PACs maxed out, the effort will be to get donors to these PACS-often business interests-to give to O’Donnell directly.

In the 7th Congressional District SurveyUSA took a great deal of grief for results that differed from polls taken a month earlier by Peggy Lamm supporters.  The final results in the race were:

Ed Perlmutter 53%
Peggy Lamm 38%
Herb Rubenstein 9%

The Survey USA/KUSA poll results were:

Ed Perlmutter 49 (51)
Peggy Lamm 37 (31)
Herb Rubenstein 8 (10)
Undecided 7 (8)

Perlmutter’s margin of victory 15 percentage points, was squarely between the 20 percentage points shown in the first poll, and the 12 percentage points in the second one.

5th Congressional District polling

Similar results were seen in the 5th Congressional District.

The end result in the 5th Congressional District was:

Doug Lamborn 27%
Jeff Crank 25%
Bentley Rayburn 17%
Lionel Rivera 13%
John Anderson 12%
Duncan Bremer 6%

The last poll results released before the election showed:

Undecided: 26%
Doug Lamborn: 22%
Jeff Crank: 15%
Duncan Bremer: 13%
John Anderson: 9%
Lionel Rivera: 9%
Bentley Rayburn: 5%

This wasn’t a perfect match.  It far overrated Bremer, who sponsored the poll, and it far underrated Rayburn.  But, it did pick the first and second place finishers correctly.  And, it correctly noted that Anderson and Rivera would come very close in the final result.

32nd Senate District polling

The result in the 32nd Senate District was:

Chris Romer 50%
Jennifer Mello 35%
Fran Coleman 15%

A leaked poll in that race showed that both Coleman and Mello were more than 20 percentage points behind Romer. 

This turned out to be true for Coleman, and Mello’s 15 percentage point lag behind Romer was probably within the poll’s margin of error.

That was the refrain tonight as almost 100 Perlmutter supporters gathered at the Alamos Verdes restaurant in Arvada, celebrating their victory in the Seventh Congressional District Democratic Primary.

“Are you happy with what the Bush Administration wants to do to privatize Social Security and pensions?” Perlmutter asks, standing on a stage surrounded by supporters.  A chorus of “Nos” from the gathered crowd is returned.Perlmutter then goes through the issues–from stems cells, Iraq, and energy–asking if people are happy with the current direction of the country.  Each time, the crowd errupts voicing opposition to Bush policies.

There were two reasons for their victory tonight, Perlmutter said in both his speech and when asked. 

First, his connections to the community.  Perlmutter is a life long resident of Jefferson County, and has lived in Congressional District 7 since it was created after the 2000 census.

Second, his message of change

For a start, here’s the word from Hotline On Call:

To get an early read on how the CO 07 Dem primary is shaping up, look at the absentee numbers

]]> http://coloradoindependent.com/346/live-blogging-cd-7-results/feed 3 http://coloradoindependent.com/314/new-survey-usakusa-cd-7-poll-out http://coloradoindependent.com/314/new-survey-usakusa-cd-7-poll-out#comments Mon, 07 Aug 2006 18:07:25 +0000 Andrew Oh-Willeke http://www.coloradoindependent.com.php5-9.websitetestlink.com/?p=314 9News (KUSA) reports the latest Survey USA poll results on the CD 7 race:

Ed Perlmutter 49 (51)
Peggy Lamm 37 (31)
Herb Rubenstein 8 (10)
Undecided 7 (8)

The poll asked 592 likely

…

]]> 9News (KUSA) reports the latest Survey USA poll results on the CD 7 race:

Ed Perlmutter 49 (51)
Peggy Lamm 37 (31)
Herb Rubenstein 8 (10)
Undecided 7 (8)

The poll asked 592 likely voters who they would vote for in the Democratic primary set for Tuesday, August 8. It is possible some had already voted early or absentee.

This implies a sampling error of +/-4.1%

Observers had suggested that the previous Survey USA poll was an outlier.  This poll suggests that, from a sampling error perspective, that the prior poll was correct in showing Perlmutter safely ahead of Lamm.

It does not, address, however, claims that absentee voters and early voters may not give their vote to the robocaller, and hence, not accurately reflect the true vote.

Cross Posted at Colorado Pols.

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